Strategic intelligence and foresight to protect capital in high-friction markets

What We Do

We provide the strategic intelligence and foresight necessary to protect capital in high-friction markets.

We utilize scenario planning methodologies and scenario-based risk assessments to help clients build resilient strategies under uncertainty.

We serve a sophisticated clientele of Multi-Family Offices, International Law Firms, Companies, and Investors.

Services

  • Strategic Foresight and Intelligence: Geopolitical Risk Advisory, Scenario-Driven Risk Assessments, Country Risk, Scenario Planning.

  • Transactional Strategic Intelligence: Strategic Due Diligence, Counterparty Risk, Stakeholder Mapping.

  • Litigation & Dispute Support: Asset Tracing, Litigation Support Intelligence.

How We Work

We integrate open-source research, local human intelligence, and strategic analysis to uncover realities on the ground.

We move beyond data to surface the systemic forces shaping risk.

We provide the clarity needed to act with certainty in the face of volatility.

Where We Work

Our regions of primary expertise are Latin America, the Caribbean and sub-Saharan Africa, but we also operate across the Americas and EMEA.

Who We Are

Our Strategic Network

Led by Managing Partner Pedro Armada––a strategic intelligence, foresight and risk advisory specialist with 15 years’ experience leading high-stakes engagements for multinational clients and global law firms in high-friction markets––Armada Risk Consulting operates as a specialized intelligence hub.

We combine in-house strategic oversight with a vetted, multi-lingual global network of legal, forensic, and intelligence professionals based in high-friction markets. This structure allows us to scale rapidly to meet the needs of clients.

Case Studies

Latin America | Dispute Support – Hospitality


Challenge: An international hospitality company suspected key executives of running parallel competing businesses in South America.


Approach: We conducted exhaustive field research confirming that executives had interests in several competing businesses. We provided extensive mapping of the executives’ corporate and property interests.

We advised the client on potential regulatory pitfalls and leverage points against the executives in question.


Outcome: Our findings neutralized internal threats and mitigated multi-million dollar liabilities by facilitating the dismissal of bad actors with minimal legal exposure.

Africa | Strategic Due Diligence – Carbon Markets

Challenge: An international climate finance entity required due diligence on an agroforestry project in a remote East African region, alongside a country and sector risk assessment.


Approach: We conducted discreet human-source inquiries and combined findings with geopolitical and cultural analysis, focusing on land use dynamics and local political structures. We identified significant operational bottlenecks driven by recent regulatory changes and interference from key local actors.

We advised the client on pending policy shifts and conflict legacies driving uncertainty and their potential impact on project execution. We provided a strategic risk analysis and advised on potential mitigation measures as well as community relations strategies.


Outcome: Our intelligence enabled the client to refine the market-entry and risk management strategy and structure a $9 million dollar investment in a high-friction market to protect its strategic interests.

Latin America | Strategic Intelligence – Real Estate


Challenge: An international investor needed clarity on an investment fund and its principals linked to a major corruption and money laundering probe.


Approach: We conducted confidential interviews with industry and government insiders and analyzed the geopolitical context behind the allegations. We confirmed political motivations influenced the high-profile case and exposed a rival-backed campaign to discredit the subjects.

We advised the client on plausible future scenarios and their risk impact, mitigation measures to counter the rival-backed campaign, and strategies for navigating inter-agency rivalries.


Outcome:  Our insights allowed the client to effectively navigate a complex risk landscape and structure the deal terms to protect their multi-million dollar investment.

Africa | Sovereign Asset Search – Energy Sector


Challenge: An international law firm required intelligence to trace assets linked to state-owned entities in West Africa for judgment enforcement.


Approach: We carried out a months-long investigation combining advanced OSINT techniques with targeted HUMINT inquiries across multiple jurisdictions. We uncovered millions of dollars in assets held through affiliated entities.

We advised the client on potential seizure and leverage strategies.


Outcome: Our work directly facilitated the recovery of millions in distressed capital by uncovering hidden asset structures.

Reach out to schedule a private briefing

Pedro [at] armadariskconsulting.com

Financial Park Tower

Boulevard Costa del Este, 35th Floor, Panama City, Panama